Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent presidential and congressional contests. The open seat following Jodey Arrington's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that Tom Sell won decisively in the May 2026 runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the district's strong GOP performance in 2024 and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-19 House Election Winner
TX-19 House Election Winner
$22,847 Vol.
$22,847 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$22,847 Vol.
$22,847 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$2,921 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$19,926 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent presidential and congressional contests. The open seat following Jodey Arrington's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that Tom Sell won decisively in the May 2026 runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the district's strong GOP performance in 2024 and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$22,847Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent presidential and congressional contests. The open seat following Jodey Arrington's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that Tom Sell won decisively in the May 2026 runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the district's strong GOP performance in 2024 and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,847Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its partisan voting index and consistent results in recent presidential and congressional contests. The open seat following Jodey Arrington's retirement drew a crowded Republican primary that Tom Sell won decisively in the May 2026 runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election as safe or solid Republican, reflecting the district's strong GOP performance in 2024 and limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence. Trader consensus at 95% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. A significant late scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
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