The open Nebraska 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon, centers trader sentiment on Democratic nominee Denise Powell facing Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s light-blue tilt—reflected in Kamala Harris’s five-point 2024 margin—combined with Bacon’s retirement has positioned Democrats as clear frontrunners in the eyes of prediction-market participants. Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary, while Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report rates the contest Lean Democratic, underscoring the structural advantage for the party seeking the pickup. No major late developments have shifted the implied probabilities significantly since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
16%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,698 Vol.
81%
Republican Party
$3,962 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Nebraska 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon, centers trader sentiment on Democratic nominee Denise Powell facing Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s light-blue tilt—reflected in Kamala Harris’s five-point 2024 margin—combined with Bacon’s retirement has positioned Democrats as clear frontrunners in the eyes of prediction-market participants. Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary, while Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report rates the contest Lean Democratic, underscoring the structural advantage for the party seeking the pickup. No major late developments have shifted the implied probabilities significantly since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$35,660Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Nebraska 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon, centers trader sentiment on Democratic nominee Denise Powell facing Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s light-blue tilt—reflected in Kamala Harris’s five-point 2024 margin—combined with Bacon’s retirement has positioned Democrats as clear frontrunners in the eyes of prediction-market participants. Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary, while Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report rates the contest Lean Democratic, underscoring the structural advantage for the party seeking the pickup. No major late developments have shifted the implied probabilities significantly since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,660Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Nebraska 2nd district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Don Bacon, centers trader sentiment on Democratic nominee Denise Powell facing Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The seat’s light-blue tilt—reflected in Kamala Harris’s five-point 2024 margin—combined with Bacon’s retirement has positioned Democrats as clear frontrunners in the eyes of prediction-market participants. Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May primary, while Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report rates the contest Lean Democratic, underscoring the structural advantage for the party seeking the pickup. No major late developments have shifted the implied probabilities significantly since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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