Recent polling for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, general election shows the Parti Vert du Québec receiving negligible support, typically grouped within “others” at 1% or less across Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys, while the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS account for nearly all projected seats. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ allocate zero ridings to the Greens under first-past-the-post dynamics, reflecting the party’s absence from competitive ridings and lack of regional strongholds. With the campaign underway and voter attention focused on the five larger parties’ contest for plurality or minority government, no recent by-elections, leadership changes, or policy shifts have elevated PVQ prospects. Traders therefore price the implied probability of the party winning any seat at under 9%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui4% peluang
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Oct 5, 2026
4% peluang
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Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, general election shows the Parti Vert du Québec receiving negligible support, typically grouped within “others” at 1% or less across Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys, while the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS account for nearly all projected seats. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ allocate zero ridings to the Greens under first-past-the-post dynamics, reflecting the party’s absence from competitive ridings and lack of regional strongholds. With the campaign underway and voter attention focused on the five larger parties’ contest for plurality or minority government, no recent by-elections, leadership changes, or policy shifts have elevated PVQ prospects. Traders therefore price the implied probability of the party winning any seat at under 9%.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Volume
$247Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, general election shows the Parti Vert du Québec receiving negligible support, typically grouped within “others” at 1% or less across Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys, while the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS account for nearly all projected seats. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ allocate zero ridings to the Greens under first-past-the-post dynamics, reflecting the party’s absence from competitive ridings and lack of regional strongholds. With the campaign underway and voter attention focused on the five larger parties’ contest for plurality or minority government, no recent by-elections, leadership changes, or policy shifts have elevated PVQ prospects. Traders therefore price the implied probability of the party winning any seat at under 9%.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$247Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, general election shows the Parti Vert du Québec receiving negligible support, typically grouped within “others” at 1% or less across Léger, Pallas Data, and Synopsis surveys, while the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS account for nearly all projected seats. Seat models from 338Canada and The Writ allocate zero ridings to the Greens under first-past-the-post dynamics, reflecting the party’s absence from competitive ridings and lack of regional strongholds. With the campaign underway and voter attention focused on the five larger parties’ contest for plurality or minority government, no recent by-elections, leadership changes, or policy shifts have elevated PVQ prospects. Traders therefore price the implied probability of the party winning any seat at under 9%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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