SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via the record June 2026 IPO at $135 and briefly traded above $210, closed July near $108 amid a roughly 50% drawdown from peak levels. The primary near-term catalysts are the company’s first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 lockup expiration that could release over 900 million shares into the float. Analysts’ 12-month price targets span $62 to $800, reflecting divergent views on Starlink subscriber growth, Starship margins, and valuation compression from the post-IPO multiple above 50x estimated 2026 revenue. Trading volume and implied volatility have risen ahead of these events, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether earnings guidance or supply pressure will dominate price action during the August 3–7 window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui↑ $125
50%
↑ $122.50
50%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $117.50
50%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $112.50
50%
↑ $110
50%
↓ $107.50
50%
↓ $105
50%
↓ $102.50
50%
↓ $100
50%
↓ $97.50
50%
↓ $95
50%
↓ $92.50
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $125
50%
↑ $122.50
50%
↑ $120
50%
↑ $117.50
50%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $112.50
50%
↑ $110
50%
↓ $107.50
50%
↓ $105
50%
↓ $102.50
50%
↓ $100
50%
↓ $97.50
50%
↓ $95
50%
↓ $92.50
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via the record June 2026 IPO at $135 and briefly traded above $210, closed July near $108 amid a roughly 50% drawdown from peak levels. The primary near-term catalysts are the company’s first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the August 6 lockup expiration that could release over 900 million shares into the float. Analysts’ 12-month price targets span $62 to $800, reflecting divergent views on Starlink subscriber growth, Starship margins, and valuation compression from the post-IPO multiple above 50x estimated 2026 revenue. Trading volume and implied volatility have risen ahead of these events, with market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over whether earnings guidance or supply pressure will dominate price action during the August 3–7 window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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