Recent FOMC policy signals from the July 28-29 meeting and robust Q2 earnings beats— with 88% of reporting S&P 500 companies surpassing estimates and blended earnings growth near 25%—have supported equity levels around 7,400-7,500. Traders are now focused on the August 7 July jobs report as the key catalyst for rate-cut expectations and labor-market resilience, alongside Monday’s ISM manufacturing PMI and midweek trade data. Momentum from July’s mixed performance and Big Tech results continues to influence near-term positioning, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty ahead of these releases that could shift sentiment on growth and monetary policy paths.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui↑ $775
50%
↑ $770
50%
↑ $765
50%
↑ $760
50%
↑ $755
50%
↑ $750
50%
↑ $745
75%
↓ $740
52%
↓ $735
51%
↓ $730
51%
↓ $725
52%
↓ $720
50%
↓ $715
4%
↓ $710
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $775
50%
↑ $770
50%
↑ $765
50%
↑ $760
50%
↑ $755
50%
↑ $750
50%
↑ $745
75%
↓ $740
52%
↓ $735
51%
↓ $730
51%
↓ $725
52%
↓ $720
50%
↓ $715
4%
↓ $710
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Sumber Resolusi
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent FOMC policy signals from the July 28-29 meeting and robust Q2 earnings beats— with 88% of reporting S&P 500 companies surpassing estimates and blended earnings growth near 25%—have supported equity levels around 7,400-7,500. Traders are now focused on the August 7 July jobs report as the key catalyst for rate-cut expectations and labor-market resilience, alongside Monday’s ISM manufacturing PMI and midweek trade data. Momentum from July’s mixed performance and Big Tech results continues to influence near-term positioning, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty ahead of these releases that could shift sentiment on growth and monetary policy paths.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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