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Politica·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Market icon
Politica·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Sì

15% probabilità
Polymarket

$56,021 Vol.

Sì

15% probabilità
Polymarket

$56,021 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria's president following his January 2025 appointment as head of the transitional government after overthrowing Bashar al-Assad, with trader consensus at 85% implying he will retain leadership through December 31, 2026. Recent diplomatic gains, including a March 31, 2026, meeting with the UK prime minister and prior US sanctions waivers ahead of a White House visit with President Trump in November 2025, have bolstered his international legitimacy and economic prospects. Domestically, his administration has consolidated territorial control through ceasefires, such as a February 2026 agreement integrating factions, amid ongoing challenges like sectarian tensions and power concentration critiques, but no major coups, no-confidence votes, or factional revolts have emerged to threaten his position in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,021
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa remains Syria's president following his January 2025 appointment as head of the transitional government after overthrowing Bashar al-Assad, with trader consensus at 85% implying he will retain leadership through December 31, 2026. Recent diplomatic gains, including a March 31, 2026, meeting with the UK prime minister and prior US sanctions waivers ahead of a White House visit with President Trump in November 2025, have bolstered his international legitimacy and economic prospects. Domestically, his administration has consolidated territorial control through ceasefires, such as a February 2026 agreement integrating factions, amid ongoing challenges like sectarian tensions and power concentration critiques, but no major coups, no-confidence votes, or factional revolts have emerged to threaten his position in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,021
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ahmed al-Sharaa non sarà più leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 15¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 15% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" ha generato $56K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 5, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è "Ahmed al-Sharaa non sarà più leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 15%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 15% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Ahmed al-Sharaa uscirà come leader della Siria entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.