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icon for Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

icon for Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$24,798 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$24,798 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's status page recorded no critical (red) incidents through the end of May 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on "No." The platform experienced only a resolved API-error outage on May 8 that remained classified as major (orange) and was contained within hours by engineering teams, consistent with prior rapid response patterns. Subsequent weeks showed routine minor or major issues without escalation to critical severity, supported by stable infrastructure and no widespread client exploits materializing from the disclosed CVE-2026-0776 privilege-escalation flaw. With the resolution window now closed, the high implied probability reflects verified operational continuity rather than speculation, though traders note that any last-minute infrastructure failure could theoretically have altered the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$24,798
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's status page recorded no critical (red) incidents through the end of May 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus on "No." The platform experienced only a resolved API-error outage on May 8 that remained classified as major (orange) and was contained within hours by engineering teams, consistent with prior rapid response patterns. Subsequent weeks showed routine minor or major issues without escalation to critical severity, supported by stable infrastructure and no widespread client exploits materializing from the disclosed CVE-2026-0776 privilege-escalation flaw. With the resolution window now closed, the high implied probability reflects verified operational continuity rather than speculation, though traders note that any last-minute infrastructure failure could theoretically have altered the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.

Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.

If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$24,798
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" ha generato $24.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 27, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Critical Discord Incident by May 31?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.