Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold classical violin-pop fusion that surged to frontrunner status after February's national final and has held firm through recent pre-party buzz and OGAE fan votes. France (11.9%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "Før vi går hjem" (10.3%) follow as jury-friendly challengers from strong Melodi Grand Prix showings, reflecting vocal technique and broad appeal. Recent Yle coverage announcements and stable bookie odds underscore Finland's campaign momentum, but Vienna semi-finals on May 12-14 and unpredictable jury-televote dynamics could fuel shifts before the May 16 final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 36.4%
Francia 11.8%
Danimarca 10.3%
Australia 6.8%
$90,583,686 Vol.
$90,583,686 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
12%

Danimarca
10%

Australia
7%

Grecia
6%

Israele
6%

Italia
4%

Svezia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
2%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 36.4%
Francia 11.8%
Danimarca 10.3%
Australia 6.8%
$90,583,686 Vol.
$90,583,686 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
12%

Danimarca
10%

Australia
7%

Grecia
6%

Israele
6%

Italia
4%

Svezia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
2%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a bold classical violin-pop fusion that surged to frontrunner status after February's national final and has held firm through recent pre-party buzz and OGAE fan votes. France (11.9%) and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund with "Før vi går hjem" (10.3%) follow as jury-friendly challengers from strong Melodi Grand Prix showings, reflecting vocal technique and broad appeal. Recent Yle coverage announcements and stable bookie odds underscore Finland's campaign momentum, but Vienna semi-finals on May 12-14 and unpredictable jury-televote dynamics could fuel shifts before the May 16 final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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