Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin"—a fiery pop-rock anthem blending violin virtuosity, catchy hooks, and high-energy staging that dominated Finland's February 28 national final and has sustained frontrunner status across bookmakers. France's Monroe follows at 12.5% with the internally selected "Regarde!", a sleek Big 5 contender appealing to jury voters via polished production since its March 6 reveal. Denmark's 10.3% reflects surging momentum for Søren Torpegaard Lund's electronic pop "Før vi går hjem" post-DMGP win on February 14, narrowing Finland's lead amid recent odds shifts from additional national selections and OGAE fan votes. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final May 16 approaching, rehearsal buzz and running order could spark further volatility in this competitive field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 36.4%
Francia 12.5%
Danimarca 10.3%
Australia 6.8%
$89,921,150 Vol.
$89,921,150 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
13%

Danimarca
10%

Australia
7%

Grecia
6%

Israele
6%

Italia
4%

Svezia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
2%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Austria
<1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 36.4%
Francia 12.5%
Danimarca 10.3%
Australia 6.8%
$89,921,150 Vol.
$89,921,150 Vol.

Finlandia
36%

Francia
13%

Danimarca
10%

Australia
7%

Grecia
6%

Israele
6%

Italia
4%

Svezia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
2%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Austria
<1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.4% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin"—a fiery pop-rock anthem blending violin virtuosity, catchy hooks, and high-energy staging that dominated Finland's February 28 national final and has sustained frontrunner status across bookmakers. France's Monroe follows at 12.5% with the internally selected "Regarde!", a sleek Big 5 contender appealing to jury voters via polished production since its March 6 reveal. Denmark's 10.3% reflects surging momentum for Søren Torpegaard Lund's electronic pop "Før vi går hjem" post-DMGP win on February 14, narrowing Finland's lead amid recent odds shifts from additional national selections and OGAE fan votes. With Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final May 16 approaching, rehearsal buzz and running order could spark further volatility in this competitive field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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