Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop that has dominated bookie odds and OGAE fan polls since their February national final victory, positioning it as a televote powerhouse with chaotic stage appeal. France's Monroe follows at 11.7% on strong critical buzz for "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.6% thanks to melodic appeal in "Før...," and Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages star power in "Eclipse" at 7.0%. Recent semi-final running order reveals on April 2 have stabilized frontrunners, but jury-televote splits remain a wildcard ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Eurovision 2026
Vincitore Eurovision 2026
Finlandia 36.6%
Francia 11.5%
Danimarca 10.6%
Australia 7.0%
$91,244,992 Vol.
$91,244,992 Vol.

Finlandia
37%

Francia
12%

Danimarca
11%

Australia
7%

Israele
6%

Grecia
6%

Svezia
3%

Italia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
Finlandia 36.6%
Francia 11.5%
Danimarca 10.6%
Australia 7.0%
$91,244,992 Vol.
$91,244,992 Vol.

Finlandia
37%

Francia
12%

Danimarca
11%

Australia
7%

Israele
6%

Grecia
6%

Svezia
3%

Italia
3%

Ucraina
2%

Romania
2%

Cechia
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Cipro
1%

Moldavia
1%

Croazia
1%

Lussemburgo
1%

Germania
<1%

Norvegia
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Regno Unito
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgio
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbaigian
<1%

Polonia
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Svizzera
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettonia
<1%

Portogallo
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 with their UMK-winning entry "Liekinheitin," a high-energy fusion of classical violin and pop that has dominated bookie odds and OGAE fan polls since their February national final victory, positioning it as a televote powerhouse with chaotic stage appeal. France's Monroe follows at 11.7% on strong critical buzz for "Regarde!," while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.6% thanks to melodic appeal in "Før...," and Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages star power in "Eclipse" at 7.0%. Recent semi-final running order reveals on April 2 have stabilized frontrunners, but jury-televote splits remain a wildcard ahead of Vienna semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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