Mercedes holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after sweeping the first three grands prix and China's sprint in the opening rounds of 2026, amassing 135 points—a 45-point lead over Ferrari's 90. Their Andrea Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, fueled by the strongest power unit and chassis adaptation to new active aerodynamics and power unit regs, posting 0.5-0.6 second advantages in qualifying and race pace over rivals. Ferrari trails as the primary challenger despite strong starts from Charles Leclerc, while McLaren sits third at 46 points but fades; Red Bull languishes at 16 amid adaptation struggles, relegating them to 1.4% odds as traders bet on Mercedes sustaining early dominance through Miami.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,152,602 Vol.
$12,152,602 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
8%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 11%
McLaren 7.9%
Red Bull Racing 1.4%
$12,152,602 Vol.
$12,152,602 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
11%

McLaren
8%

Red Bull Racing
1%

Aston Martin
1%

Audi
1%

Williams
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after sweeping the first three grands prix and China's sprint in the opening rounds of 2026, amassing 135 points—a 45-point lead over Ferrari's 90. Their Andrea Kimi Antonelli and George Russell lead the drivers' standings with 72 and 63 points, respectively, fueled by the strongest power unit and chassis adaptation to new active aerodynamics and power unit regs, posting 0.5-0.6 second advantages in qualifying and race pace over rivals. Ferrari trails as the primary challenger despite strong starts from Charles Leclerc, while McLaren sits third at 46 points but fades; Red Bull languishes at 16 amid adaptation struggles, relegating them to 1.4% odds as traders bet on Mercedes sustaining early dominance through Miami.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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