Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-7 FIFA ranking, Ronald Koeman's cohesive squad featuring dynamic attackers, and an unbeaten head-to-head record against Japan including 2010 World Cup and friendly triumphs. Japan's 27.5% reflects Samurai Blue's upward trajectory from recent friendly upsets over Brazil and Germany, top-10 power rankings, and strong Asian qualifiers, positioning them as viable challengers in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance to the round of 32. Sweden's March playoff victory over Poland secures their bundled 13.5% share despite no qualifying wins, while Tunisia's 4.2% trails amid modest African campaign form; final March qualifiers and late-March group draw crystallized these dynamics absent major April injury disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPaesi Bassi 54%
Giappone 28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.2%
$78,465 Vol.
$78,465 Vol.
Paesi Bassi
54%
Giappone
28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
Paesi Bassi 54%
Giappone 28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 14%
Tunisia 4.2%
$78,465 Vol.
$78,465 Vol.
Paesi Bassi
54%
Giappone
28%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
14%
Tunisia
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 53.5% implied probability to win Group F, driven by their top-7 FIFA ranking, Ronald Koeman's cohesive squad featuring dynamic attackers, and an unbeaten head-to-head record against Japan including 2010 World Cup and friendly triumphs. Japan's 27.5% reflects Samurai Blue's upward trajectory from recent friendly upsets over Brazil and Germany, top-10 power rankings, and strong Asian qualifiers, positioning them as viable challengers in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance to the round of 32. Sweden's March playoff victory over Poland secures their bundled 13.5% share despite no qualifying wins, while Tunisia's 4.2% trails amid modest African campaign form; final March qualifiers and late-March group draw crystallized these dynamics absent major April injury disruptions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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