Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to June 2026 gold futures (GCM26) settlement ranges around $4,200-$5,000, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 20.5%, $4,200-$4,600 at 18.7%, and $5,000-$5,400 at 16.7%, reflecting GCM26's current trading near $4,825 amid heightened uncertainty. Recent downside pressure stems from the Federal Reserve's March hold on rates at 3.50%-3.75%—projecting only one cut in 2026—and elevated real yields near 2%, which pulled spot gold below $4,750 this week after January peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank buying and Middle East tensions provide counterbalance, but a stronger U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and late-April FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could favor higher bins while hawkish rhetoric bolsters lower ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
Su cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$4.600-$5.000 21%
$4.200-$4.600 18.7%
$5.000-$5.400 16.8%
$3.800-$4.200 12.3%
$890,503 Vol.
$890,503 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<$3.800
7%
$3.800-$4.200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
19%
$4.600-$5.000
21%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
12%
$5.800-$6.200
7%
>$6.200
4%
$4.600-$5.000 21%
$4.200-$4.600 18.7%
$5.000-$5.400 16.8%
$3.800-$4.200 12.3%
$890,503 Vol.
$890,503 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<$3.800
$219,178 Vol.
7%
$3.800-$4.200
$46,591 Vol.
12%
$4.200-$4.600
$45,655 Vol.
19%
$4.600-$5.000
$42,985 Vol.
21%
$5.000-$5.400
$52,798 Vol.
17%
$5.400-$5.800
$50,322 Vol.
12%
$5.800-$6.200
$242,651 Vol.
7%
>$6.200
$190,324 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to June 2026 gold futures (GCM26) settlement ranges around $4,200-$5,000, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 20.5%, $4,200-$4,600 at 18.7%, and $5,000-$5,400 at 16.7%, reflecting GCM26's current trading near $4,825 amid heightened uncertainty. Recent downside pressure stems from the Federal Reserve's March hold on rates at 3.50%-3.75%—projecting only one cut in 2026—and elevated real yields near 2%, which pulled spot gold below $4,750 this week after January peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank buying and Middle East tensions provide counterbalance, but a stronger U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and late-April FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could favor higher bins while hawkish rhetoric bolsters lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$890,503Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to June 2026 gold futures (GCM26) settlement ranges around $4,200-$5,000, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 20.5%, $4,200-$4,600 at 18.7%, and $5,000-$5,400 at 16.7%, reflecting GCM26's current trading near $4,825 amid heightened uncertainty. Recent downside pressure stems from the Federal Reserve's March hold on rates at 3.50%-3.75%—projecting only one cut in 2026—and elevated real yields near 2%, which pulled spot gold below $4,750 this week after January peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank buying and Middle East tensions provide counterbalance, but a stronger U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and late-April FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could favor higher bins while hawkish rhetoric bolsters lower ranges.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$890,503Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign closely matched implied probabilities to June 2026 gold futures (GCM26) settlement ranges around $4,200-$5,000, with $4,600-$5,000 leading at 20.5%, $4,200-$4,600 at 18.7%, and $5,000-$5,400 at 16.7%, reflecting GCM26's current trading near $4,825 amid heightened uncertainty. Recent downside pressure stems from the Federal Reserve's March hold on rates at 3.50%-3.75%—projecting only one cut in 2026—and elevated real yields near 2%, which pulled spot gold below $4,750 this week after January peaks above $5,500. Persistent central bank buying and Middle East tensions provide counterbalance, but a stronger U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and late-April FOMC signals, where hotter inflation could favor higher bins while hawkish rhetoric bolsters lower ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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