Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (58%) and 16°C (37.5%) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) forecast of a daytime maximum around 17°C under partly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 3 Beaufort. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster peaks near 16°C, warmer than the mid-April climatological average of 13–14°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent 12–24 hour model updates have tightened this range, reducing odds for 18°C or higher amid low wind shear and stable atmospheric conditions. Official measurements at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station, will track hourly through evening, with any unexpected cloud cover potentially tipping toward 16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 16?
16°C 75%
17°C 28%
18°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
$45,521 Vol.
$45,521 Vol.
13°C
<1%
16°C
75%
17°C
28%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 75%
17°C 28%
18°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
$45,521 Vol.
$45,521 Vol.
13°C
<1%
16°C
75%
17°C
28%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (58%) and 16°C (37.5%) as Amsterdam's highest temperature today, reflecting the latest Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) forecast of a daytime maximum around 17°C under partly sunny skies with light southwest winds at 3 Beaufort. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models cluster peaks near 16°C, warmer than the mid-April climatological average of 13–14°C due to a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting solar heating and minimal cloud interference. Recent 12–24 hour model updates have tightened this range, reducing odds for 18°C or higher amid low wind shear and stable atmospheric conditions. Official measurements at Schiphol Airport, the resolution station, will track hourly through evening, with any unexpected cloud cover potentially tipping toward 16°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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