Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models converge on a high of 29–30°C for Ankara on July 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-summer continental climates. This drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C, as recent runs show light winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected in the next 48 hours. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, but the immediate pattern reflects a slight moderation from early-month warmth. Traders appear to price in limited upside risk from model spread or urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 15 luglio?
29°C 47%
28°C 28%
30°C 22%
31°C 5.3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
28%
29°C
47%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 28%
30°C 22%
31°C 5.3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
28%
29°C
47%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models converge on a high of 29–30°C for Ankara on July 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-summer continental climates. This drives the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C, as recent runs show light winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant frontal systems or heat advection expected in the next 48 hours. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide context, but the immediate pattern reflects a slight moderation from early-month warmth. Traders appear to price in limited upside risk from model spread or urban heat-island effects, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings at the central station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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