Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 13 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 13 luglio?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,300 Vol.
$92,300 Vol.
13 lug 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$92,300 Vol.
$92,300 Vol.
13 lug 2026
27°C or below
$3,489 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,243 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,989 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,629 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,116 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,234 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,976 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,494 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$6,176 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,506 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$9,447 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$92,300Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,300Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti