Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on July 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 8?
29°C 47%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 lug 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
47%
30°C
34%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 34%
28°C 13%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 lug 2026
24°C or below
$338 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$205 Vol.
1%
27°C
$79 Vol.
3%
28°C
$156 Vol.
13%
29°C
$4,393 Vol.
47%
30°C
$160 Vol.
34%
31°C
$127 Vol.
5%
32°C
$221 Vol.
1%
33°C
$221 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,202Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,202Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight a cooler-than-average early July period over central Turkey, driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow across the Anatolian plateau that has suppressed daytime heating after earlier peaks above 30°C. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering around 28–30°C maxima for July 8, with small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact frontal timing creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Historical July climatology for Ankara places average highs near 30°C, yet the current synoptic setup favors modest daytime temperatures with limited potential for rapid warming before the market resolves. Traders are weighting official guidance against possible short-term model revisions closer to the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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