Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca l'8 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca l'8 luglio?
22°C 100.0%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 Vol.
$90,017 Vol.
8 lug 2026
16°C o meno
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C o meno <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$90,017 Vol.
$90,017 Vol.
8 lug 2026
16°C o meno
$4,110 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,014 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,468 Vol.
No
19°C
$5,692 Vol.
No
20°C
$12,425 Vol.
No
21°C
$22,637 Vol.
No
22°C
$16,274 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$11,037 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,906 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,945 Vol.
No
26°C o superiore
$2,508 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$90,017Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,017Data di fine
8 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent short-range forecast models from European and American centers indicate Moscow will likely experience a cooler air mass on July 8, 2026, with daytime highs constrained by increased cloud cover, showers, and possible thundery activity that limit solar heating. This setup favors peak temperatures clustered around 20–22 °C—slightly below the month’s climatological average of roughly 23–24 °C—explaining why those three outcomes dominate market-implied odds. Key differentiating variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus any brief clearing that would allow stronger surface warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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