Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions April 19 highs in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus favoring 72-73°F (43.5% implied probability) and 74-75°F (32.5%), as an approaching cold front introduces mid-level clouds and cooler air aloft, reducing solar insolation below the climatological April 19 average of 79°F. Over the past 48 hours, NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after earlier runs hinted at 80s amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring spring warmth; increased cloud cover probability (around 65%) and light winds have suppressed hotter outcomes below 5%. Uncertainty persists in frontal timing—delayed clearing could yield 76°F+, while persistent overcast keeps it at 70°F or lower— with next NWS updates at 12z and 18z on April 18 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on April 19?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 19?
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 33%
70-71°F 14%
69°F or below 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 41%
74-75°F 33%
70-71°F 14%
69°F or below 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 apr 2026
69°F or below
$1,168 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$801 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$427 Vol.
41%
74-75°F
$609 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$1,636 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$1,256 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$1,157 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$829 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$513 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$521 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions April 19 highs in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus favoring 72-73°F (43.5% implied probability) and 74-75°F (32.5%), as an approaching cold front introduces mid-level clouds and cooler air aloft, reducing solar insolation below the climatological April 19 average of 79°F. Over the past 48 hours, NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after earlier runs hinted at 80s amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring spring warmth; increased cloud cover probability (around 65%) and light winds have suppressed hotter outcomes below 5%. Uncertainty persists in frontal timing—delayed clearing could yield 76°F+, while persistent overcast keeps it at 70°F or lower— with next NWS updates at 12z and 18z on April 18 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,568Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions April 19 highs in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus favoring 72-73°F (43.5% implied probability) and 74-75°F (32.5%), as an approaching cold front introduces mid-level clouds and cooler air aloft, reducing solar insolation below the climatological April 19 average of 79°F. Over the past 48 hours, NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after earlier runs hinted at 80s amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring spring warmth; increased cloud cover probability (around 65%) and light winds have suppressed hotter outcomes below 5%. Uncertainty persists in frontal timing—delayed clearing could yield 76°F+, while persistent overcast keeps it at 70°F or lower— with next NWS updates at 12z and 18z on April 18 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,568Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin positions April 19 highs in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader consensus favoring 72-73°F (43.5% implied probability) and 74-75°F (32.5%), as an approaching cold front introduces mid-level clouds and cooler air aloft, reducing solar insolation below the climatological April 19 average of 79°F. Over the past 48 hours, NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range after earlier runs hinted at 80s amid neutral ENSO conditions favoring spring warmth; increased cloud cover probability (around 65%) and light winds have suppressed hotter outcomes below 5%. Uncertainty persists in frontal timing—delayed clearing could yield 76°F+, while persistent overcast keeps it at 70°F or lower— with next NWS updates at 12z and 18z on April 18 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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