Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 29 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 29 luglio?
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 22%
102-103°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
93°F o inferiore
1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
28%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 43%
100-101°F 28%
96-97°F 22%
102-103°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
93°F o inferiore
$330 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$101 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$331 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$209 Vol.
43%
100-101°F
$129 Vol.
28%
102-103°F
$77 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$240 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$82 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$111 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$321 Vol.
<1%
112°F o superiore
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,207Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,207Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast guidance for Austin points to a July 29 daily high most likely near 98–99°F, matching the market’s leading implied probability. Late-July climatology shows normal highs around 96–97°F as the hot season peaks, with southerly flow and mostly clear skies favoring readings in the upper 90s. Recent regional conditions have featured consistent mid-to-upper-90s temperatures and elevated heat indices, though short-term National Weather Service model updates could nudge outcomes toward 96–97°F or 100–101°F depending on cloud cover or subtle steering changes. Historical variability around the seasonal mean supports the tight clustering of trader consensus on these central bins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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