The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Austin on May 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 3?
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$89,558 Vol.
$89,558 Vol.
3 mag 2026
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
Yes
76°F or higher 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$89,558 Vol.
$89,558 Vol.
3 mag 2026
57°F or below
$9,219 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$7,978 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$9,310 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$8,688 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,875 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,307 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,839 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,737 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$9,742 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$12,330 Vol.
No
76°F or higher
$11,533 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$89,558Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,558Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin on May 3, 2026, projects a high temperature near 79°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning stems from a slow warming trend following recent below-normal temperatures, with model consensus from short-range guidance like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing peak heat in the mid-to-upper 70s amid dry conditions and no precipitation threats. Early May climatological normals hover around 83°F, reinforcing the outlook. Realistic challenges would require unexpected marine stratus clouds, a sudden wind shift, or unforecasted showers—low-risk scenarios per current NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance—but intraday updates could refine the peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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