Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 29?
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$213,005 Vol.
$213,005 Vol.
29 giu 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
$213,005 Vol.
$213,005 Vol.
29 giu 2026
32°C or below
$28,071 Vol.
No
33°C
$59,073 Vol.
No
34°C
$29,155 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$21,733 Vol.
No
36°C
$29,532 Vol.
No
37°C
$15,630 Vol.
No
38°C
$6,812 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,808 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,266 Vol.
No
41°C
$7,376 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$8,548 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$213,005Data di fine
29 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$213,005Data di fine
29 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 29 near 36°C, driven by a strong surface high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal cloud cover over central Spain's elevated plateau. Model consensus shows diurnal maxima sensitive to subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and advection from warmer southerly flow, with urban heat-island effects in the city potentially adding 1–2°C locally. The narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in the precise timing of peak heating and any late-day sea-breeze influence from the Mediterranean, with final high-resolution runs expected to sharpen resolution criteria before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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