Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 3 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 3 luglio?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$169,816 Vol.
$169,816 Vol.
3 lug 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$169,816 Vol.
$169,816 Vol.
3 lug 2026
22°C or below
$7,990 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,645 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,729 Vol.
No
25°C
$32,068 Vol.
No
26°C
$34,987 Vol.
No
27°C
$28,177 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$15,946 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,513 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,097 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,389 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$6,276 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$169,816Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$169,816Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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