Official Met Office forecasts for London on July 25 project a maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF shows limited upside beyond 29°C due to moderating high pressure and a post-heatwave transition from earlier July peaks above 30°C. Typical late-July climatology hovers near 22–24°C, yet persistent warm anomalies and clear skies support the 27–29°C cluster holding over 75% combined probability. Updated model runs through July 22–23 have kept higher thresholds (31°C+) below 5% as Atlantic influences introduce modest cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 25 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 25 luglio?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$87,078 Vol.
$87,078 Vol.
25 lug 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$87,078 Vol.
$87,078 Vol.
25 lug 2026
25°C or below
$8,750 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,972 Vol.
No
27°C
$13,306 Vol.
No
28°C
$15,424 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,798 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$16,475 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,233 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,470 Vol.
No
33°C
$121 Vol.
No
34°C
$265 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$265 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on July 25 project a maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF shows limited upside beyond 29°C due to moderating high pressure and a post-heatwave transition from earlier July peaks above 30°C. Typical late-July climatology hovers near 22–24°C, yet persistent warm anomalies and clear skies support the 27–29°C cluster holding over 75% combined probability. Updated model runs through July 22–23 have kept higher thresholds (31°C+) below 5% as Atlantic influences introduce modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$87,078Data di fine
25 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on July 25 project a maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF shows limited upside beyond 29°C due to moderating high pressure and a post-heatwave transition from earlier July peaks above 30°C. Typical late-July climatology hovers near 22–24°C, yet persistent warm anomalies and clear skies support the 27–29°C cluster holding over 75% combined probability. Updated model runs through July 22–23 have kept higher thresholds (31°C+) below 5% as Atlantic influences introduce modest cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87,078Data di fine
25 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Met Office forecasts for London on July 25 project a maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals, aligning closely with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from models like ECMWF shows limited upside beyond 29°C due to moderating high pressure and a post-heatwave transition from earlier July peaks above 30°C. Typical late-July climatology hovers near 22–24°C, yet persistent warm anomalies and clear skies support the 27–29°C cluster holding over 75% combined probability. Updated model runs through July 22–23 have kept higher thresholds (31°C+) below 5% as Atlantic influences introduce modest cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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