Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 luglio?
34°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,489 Vol.
$55,489 Vol.
5 lug 2026
27°C o inferiore
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Sì
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C o superiore
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,489 Vol.
$55,489 Vol.
5 lug 2026
27°C o inferiore
$2,968 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,756 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,133 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,033 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,637 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,651 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,774 Vol.
No
34°C
$8,596 Vol.
Sì
35°C
$7,691 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,662 Vol.
No
37°C o superiore
$4,588 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$55,489Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,489Data di fine
5 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Metro Manila indicate a likely daily maximum near 32–33°C on July 5 under the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and moderate cloud cover that historically caps peak readings. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–34°C because short-range forecasts show limited diurnal heating potential from convective activity and high humidity, while the modest probabilities for 35°C+ reflect possible breaks in cloud cover or model spread in steering flow. Historical July climatology for Manila averages near 31–32°C, yet day-to-day variability from monsoon-enhanced rainfall and urban heat island effects can shift outcomes by 1–2°C, keeping the market closely balanced until final observational data from the Manila synoptic station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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