The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 19 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 19 luglio?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$33,078 Vol.
$33,078 Vol.
19 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
$33,078 Vol.
$33,078 Vol.
19 lug 2026
26°C o inferiore
$210 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,845 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,489 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,687 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,635 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,081 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,687 Vol.
100%
34°C
$2,713 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$2,067 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$33,078Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,078Data di fine
19 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon (Habagat) currently influencing western Luzon drives the closely matched market odds clustered around 31–33 °C, as increased cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms limit solar heating and surface warming. PAGASA outlooks project Metro Manila highs near 32 °C on July 19 with a 60 % rain probability, consistent with typical July conditions where monsoon moisture and convective activity suppress peaks below seasonal averages of 30–33 °C. Short-term model variability in the timing and coverage of localized storms creates the tight spread between 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes, while lower probabilities for 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and global forecast model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this daily maximum temperature market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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