Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 17 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 17 luglio?
28°C 35.5%
27°C 28%
29°C 21.8%
26°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
28%
28°C
36%
29°C
22%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35.5%
27°C 28%
29°C 21.8%
26°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
23°C or below
$63 Vol.
1%
24°C
$46 Vol.
2%
25°C
$35 Vol.
6%
26°C
$170 Vol.
10%
27°C
$160 Vol.
28%
28°C
$152 Vol.
36%
29°C
$176 Vol.
22%
30°C
$47 Vol.
4%
31°C
$44 Vol.
1%
32°C
$48 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,047Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,047Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Munich on July 17 likely ranging from 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies with a chance of thundery showers that could moderate daytime highs. This scientific consensus on mid-to-upper 20s readings, driven by warm summer air masses and limited cloud cover early in the day, underpins the market's leading 27°C outcome at 31% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 28°C. Model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates genuine uncertainty across the 25–30°C band, with official guidance from the German Weather Service expected to refine the outlook ahead of the date. Traders' capital-backed assessments align with these variables rather than fixed historical July averages near 24–25°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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