Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 17 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 17 luglio?
29°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
17 lug 2026
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
17 lug 2026
24°C o inferiore
$604 Vol.
No
25°C
$574 Vol.
No
26°C
$618 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,583 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,056 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,702 Vol.
Sì
30°C
$1,613 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,414 Vol.
No
32°C
$597 Vol.
No
33°C
$495 Vol.
No
34°C o superiore
$644 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15,900Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,900Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti