Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 30?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 Vol.
$109,734 Vol.
30 apr 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$109,734 Vol.
$109,734 Vol.
30 apr 2026
25°C or below
$10,076 Vol.
No
26°C
$16,903 Vol.
No
27°C
$22,629 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,554 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,413 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,062 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,049 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,103 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,003 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,151 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,792 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$109,734Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,734Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 28°C in Beijing today, reflecting strong alignment across official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and local Beijing weather services, which project sunny skies, light southwest breezes, and a peak of 28°C amid typical late-April warming patterns. Observational data from the past 24 hours shows morning temperatures rising steadily under clear conditions, tracking model ensembles like those from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, with no signs of excessive solar heating or southerly surges. This positioning draws on historical April averages around 22–25°C, adjusted for current high-pressure dominance. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon wind shift boosting insolation or microscale urban heat effects at official measurement stations, potentially nudging to 29°C, though forecast uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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