Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 3 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 3 maggio?
22°C 100.0%
17°C o meno <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 Vol.
$155,810 Vol.
3 mag 2026
17°C o meno
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sì
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C o meno <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 Vol.
$155,810 Vol.
3 mag 2026
17°C o meno
$3,964 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,883 Vol.
No
19°C
$23,349 Vol.
No
20°C
$25,078 Vol.
No
21°C
$27,942 Vol.
No
22°C
$22,234 Vol.
Sì
23°C
$18,026 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,090 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,197 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,830 Vol.
No
27°C o superiore
$7,216 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$155,810Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,810Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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