Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 30 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 30 giugno?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$393,822 Vol.
$393,822 Vol.
30 giu 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$393,822 Vol.
$393,822 Vol.
30 giu 2026
26°C or below
$22,294 Vol.
No
27°C
$16,272 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,289 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,502 Vol.
No
30°C
$43,233 Vol.
No
31°C
$46,448 Vol.
No
32°C
$63,506 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$98,284 Vol.
No
34°C
$24,968 Vol.
No
35°C
$23,538 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$24,489 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$393,822Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$393,822Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders see 31°C and 32°C as the most likely peak temperatures in Hong Kong on June 30, with closely matched odds reflecting forecast uncertainty in the region's subtropical summer monsoon regime. Current model guidance highlights modest variability in afternoon insolation due to scattered cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and light winds that limit mixing, all typical for late June when climatological highs average 30–31°C. Any strengthening of the southwest monsoon or brief convective showers could cap readings at the lower end, while clearer breaks would favor the higher outcome. Updated Hong Kong Observatory runs and ensemble guidance expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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