Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 9?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 Vol.
$58,625 Vol.
9 mag 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$58,625 Vol.
$58,625 Vol.
9 mag 2026
6°C or below
$2,679 Vol.
No
7°C
$1,126 Vol.
No
8°C
$3,503 Vol.
No
9°C
$5,212 Vol.
No
10°C
$7,879 Vol.
No
11°C
$5,375 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,017 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,948 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$5,572 Vol.
No
15°C
$6,898 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$8,416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$58,625Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$58,625Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque station confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This result matches SMN's pre-event forecast of 7–13°C maxima under overcast skies and a cool autumn air mass from polar outflows, corroborated by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting subdued highs below the month's 18°C climatological average. Recent cooling trends over the prior week, including May 8's low-teens readings, reinforced this positioning. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as a rare data audit or station-specific measurement dispute—are improbable given SMN's rigorous verification protocols, with final validation expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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