Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C in Busan on June 26, 2026, driven by a strengthening subtropical high, moderate Yellow Sea surface temperatures near 22–24°C, and increasing cloud cover with scattered showers that limit insolation. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25°C (24.5%) and 26°C (19.0%), with modest weight on 27°C reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–27°C under similar synoptic setups, while any clearer breaks or stronger onshore flow could push readings slightly higher before resolution. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on June 26?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$103,998 Vol.
$103,998 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$103,998 Vol.
$103,998 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C in Busan on June 26, 2026, driven by a strengthening subtropical high, moderate Yellow Sea surface temperatures near 22–24°C, and increasing cloud cover with scattered showers that limit insolation. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25°C (24.5%) and 26°C (19.0%), with modest weight on 27°C reflecting residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact precipitation timing. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 25–27°C under similar synoptic setups, while any clearer breaks or stronger onshore flow could push readings slightly higher before resolution. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the remaining uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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