**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 12?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Vol.
$33,461 Vol.
12 mag 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,461 Vol.
$33,461 Vol.
12 mag 2026
12°C or below
$1,435 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,515 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,014 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,312 Vol.
No
16°C
$8,191 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,164 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,936 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,493 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,771 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,395 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,235 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Volume
$33,461Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,461Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 10, 2026, 12:39 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 12, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by an intense cold front tracked by the South African Weather Service (SAWS).** Official SAWS forecasts specify a maximum of 18°C under cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gale-force northwesterly winds up to Orange Level 8 warning status, inhibiting solar heating and aligning with observed conditions of persistent overcast and precipitation through midday. This positioning reflects May's climatological autumn cooling—averaging 22°C highs but suppressed 3–4°C below normal by frontal dynamics—and recent model runs confirming minimal intensification potential. Scenarios challenging this include unlikely late-afternoon clearing for brief solar rebound to 19°C, pending final SAWS observations from Cape Town International Airport by evening. (112 words)
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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