Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 2?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 Vol.
$54,401 Vol.
2 mag 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$54,401 Vol.
$54,401 Vol.
2 mag 2026
15°C or below
$4,081 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,773 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,358 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,231 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$3,433 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,839 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,457 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,935 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,608 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,796 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$3,890 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$54,401Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$54,401Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 18°C as Cape Town's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting finalized observational data from the Cape Town International Airport station (FACT) via Wunderground, which recorded a peak of 18°C. This outcome stems from partly cloudy skies, misty spells, drizzle, and light rainfall reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS), suppressing solar insolation and peak heating under a cool autumnal air mass with moderate southerly winds. Global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on 17–19°C highs, below May's climatological average of ~20°C amid recent frontal influences. Resolution could only shift via rare post-finalization data revisions for sensor anomalies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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