Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 29?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Vol.
$176,257 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Vol.
$176,257 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti