Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from Lake Michigan combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating and keeping Chicago’s maximum temperature near or slightly above the 82.7 °F August 16 climatological normal. These conditions favor a narrow peak in the mid-80s, aligning with the market’s heavy clustering on 84–87 °F outcomes as the most probable range. Stronger southerly flow or clearing skies could push readings into the upper 80s, while additional rain or a reinforced lake breeze would cap them closer to 84 °F; latest short-range guidance shows only modest spread around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 16 agosto?
86-87°F 46%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 21%
82-83°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 46%
84-85°F 30%
88-89°F 21%
82-83°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
77°F or below
$570 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$43 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$118 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$292 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$432 Vol.
30%
86-87°F
$210 Vol.
46%
88-89°F
$347 Vol.
21%
90-91°F
$66 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$61 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$48 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from Lake Michigan combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating and keeping Chicago’s maximum temperature near or slightly above the 82.7 °F August 16 climatological normal. These conditions favor a narrow peak in the mid-80s, aligning with the market’s heavy clustering on 84–87 °F outcomes as the most probable range. Stronger southerly flow or clearing skies could push readings into the upper 80s, while additional rain or a reinforced lake breeze would cap them closer to 84 °F; latest short-range guidance shows only modest spread around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,234Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from Lake Michigan combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating and keeping Chicago’s maximum temperature near or slightly above the 82.7 °F August 16 climatological normal. These conditions favor a narrow peak in the mid-80s, aligning with the market’s heavy clustering on 84–87 °F outcomes as the most probable range. Stronger southerly flow or clearing skies could push readings into the upper 80s, while additional rain or a reinforced lake breeze would cap them closer to 84 °F; latest short-range guidance shows only modest spread around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,234Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a moderating influence from Lake Michigan combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting daytime heating and keeping Chicago’s maximum temperature near or slightly above the 82.7 °F August 16 climatological normal. These conditions favor a narrow peak in the mid-80s, aligning with the market’s heavy clustering on 84–87 °F outcomes as the most probable range. Stronger southerly flow or clearing skies could push readings into the upper 80s, while additional rain or a reinforced lake breeze would cap them closer to 84 °F; latest short-range guidance shows only modest spread around these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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