Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 16 agosto?
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
49%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 52%
92-93°F 49%
96-97°F 2%
90-91°F 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
85°F or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$381 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$481 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$812 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$3,075 Vol.
49%
94-95°F
$1,906 Vol.
52%
96-97°F
$446 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$351 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$288 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$206 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$8,200Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,200Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 16 under partly sunny skies with sea-breeze moderation and limited afternoon convection, aligning with the market’s 58% implied probability for that bin and 39.5% for 94–95°F. Mid-August climatology averages 89–91°F amid high humidity and subtropical moisture that typically curbs extreme heating, while July 2026’s record warmth supports trader expectations of near-normal rather than outlier values. Stronger thunderstorms or increased cloud cover remain the main variables that could suppress the peak into the low 90s, with official observations expected to resolve the market by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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