Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 18 amid typical summer conditions with showers and high humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) over cooler 26°C or warmer 28°C scenarios. Subtle differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on forecast details like timing of convective activity, wind patterns, and urban heat retention, with model consensus favoring near-normal to slightly above-normal values for the season. Traders are monitoring the next updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 18 agosto?
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
28°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
23%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
22%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 23%
28°C 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$124 Vol.
10%
25°C
$102 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$5 Vol.
37%
28°C
$26 Vol.
22%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$32 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 18 amid typical summer conditions with showers and high humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) over cooler 26°C or warmer 28°C scenarios. Subtle differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on forecast details like timing of convective activity, wind patterns, and urban heat retention, with model consensus favoring near-normal to slightly above-normal values for the season. Traders are monitoring the next updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$916Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 18 amid typical summer conditions with showers and high humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) over cooler 26°C or warmer 28°C scenarios. Subtle differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on forecast details like timing of convective activity, wind patterns, and urban heat retention, with model consensus favoring near-normal to slightly above-normal values for the season. Traders are monitoring the next updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$916Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 18 amid typical summer conditions with showers and high humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation are expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading 27°C outcome (36.5% implied probability) over cooler 26°C or warmer 28°C scenarios. Subtle differences among closely matched outcomes hinge on forecast details like timing of convective activity, wind patterns, and urban heat retention, with model consensus favoring near-normal to slightly above-normal values for the season. Traders are monitoring the next updated HKO guidance and ensemble runs for any shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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