Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 16 agosto?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$196 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$426 Vol.
1%
25°C
$153 Vol.
5%
26°C
$324 Vol.
12%
27°C
$440 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,234 Vol.
45%
29°C
$222 Vol.
9%
30°C
$207 Vol.
3%
31°C
$124 Vol.
1%
32°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,576Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,576Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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