Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 14 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 14 luglio?
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 32%
94-95°F 20%
100-101°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 lug 2026
93°F o meno
2%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F o superiore
<1%
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 32%
94-95°F 20%
100-101°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 lug 2026
93°F o meno
$366 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$737 Vol.
20%
96-97°F
$297 Vol.
39%
98-99°F
$200 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$157 Vol.
12%
102-103°F
$334 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$330 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$195 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$284 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
112°F o superiore
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,193Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,193Data di fine
14 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a hot, mostly sunny setup over Chicago on July 14 driven by southerly flow beneath a building high-pressure ridge, supporting afternoon highs in the mid-90s. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon dew points near 70 °F, and any late-day cloud debris explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 94–99 °F. Historical July climatology shows 85 °F as the daily normal, so current conditions represent a clear warm anomaly that traders are weighing against the narrow window for further model shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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