Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Vol.
$73,739 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 Vol.
$73,739 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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