Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 26?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 26?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 Vol.
$57,593 Vol.
26 apr 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 Vol.
$57,593 Vol.
26 apr 2026
1°C or below
$1,295 Vol.
No
2°C
$1,336 Vol.
No
3°C
$848 Vol.
No
4°C
$2,232 Vol.
No
5°C
$7,868 Vol.
No
6°C
$10,111 Vol.
No
7°C
$15,646 Vol.
Yes
8°C
$7,211 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,074 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,152 Vol.
No
11°C or higher
$4,818 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$57,593Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,593Data di fine
26 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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