National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Houston on May 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 3?
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 Vol.
$56,723 Vol.
3 mag 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$56,723 Vol.
$56,723 Vol.
3 mag 2026
63°F or below
$1,137 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$5,502 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$3,981 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,402 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,854 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,912 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,667 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,808 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$6,156 Vol.
Yes
80-81°F
$11,888 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$7,416 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volume
$56,723Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,723Data di fine
3 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations confirm Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recorded a maximum temperature of 79°F on May 3, 2026, at around 3:54 PM, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 78-79°F outcome and resolving the market accordingly. This aligns with NOAA forecast model consensus anticipating highs near 79°F under post-frontal high-pressure ridging, light north winds around 5 mph, and mostly clear skies that limited solar heating after morning lows in the mid-50s°F. Similar readings at Bush Intercontinental (IAH) further solidify trader consensus. Realistic challenges, such as late-afternoon data revisions or disputes over station selection, are improbable given standardized NWS daily climate summaries and historical measurement protocols.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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