Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 18?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Vol.
$53,055 Vol.
18 apr 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$53,055 Vol.
$53,055 Vol.
18 apr 2026
9°C or below
$944 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,156 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,535 Vol.
No
12°C
$7,131 Vol.
No
13°C
$10,134 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,892 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$9,534 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,382 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,112 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,694 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,540 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ET
Volume
$53,055Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,055Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observational data from Turkey's Meteorology General Directorate (MGM) stations in Istanbul, including Atatürk Airport and Florya, confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 14°C during the 06:00–18:00 UTC period, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. Persistent northerly flows and extensive cloud cover amid a lingering cool air mass kept daytime highs below seasonal April norms of 15–17°C, consistent with recent forecasts from MGM and European models showing suppressed solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this verified measurement, with skin-in-the-game bets aligning on ground-truth data. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data audits revealing a overlooked micro-peak above 14°C at a secondary station, though such revisions are exceedingly rare after initial reporting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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