Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 26 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 26 luglio?
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
57°F o inferiore
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F o superiore
<1%
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 27%
68-69°F 22%
62-63°F 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 lug 2026
57°F o inferiore
$56 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$100 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$201 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$74 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$89 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$1,020 Vol.
41%
68-69°F
$143 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$473 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$365 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$182 Vol.
1%
76°F o superiore
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,045Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,045Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles show substantial uncertainty in the overnight minimum for New York City on July 26, with projected lows clustered between 64°F and 71°F depending on cloud cover, dew points, and boundary-layer mixing. This tight range has produced nearly even market-implied odds across the 64–69°F bins as traders weigh the latest guidance showing modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies versus slightly warmer advection from the southwest. Historical July climatology places average lows near 68–70°F, so current consensus sits close to seasonal norms while awaiting updated model runs that could shift probabilities if dew points or wind speeds change overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti