Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 5?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 5?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$118,060 Vol.
$118,060 Vol.
5 mag 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$118,060 Vol.
$118,060 Vol.
5 mag 2026
27°C or below
$5,332 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,158 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,021 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,579 Vol.
No
31°C
$15,437 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,914 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$8,053 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,665 Vol.
No
35°C
$18,689 Vol.
No
36°C
$12,844 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$9,368 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$118,060Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$118,060Data di fine
5 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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