Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 28?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 28?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,265 Vol.
$22,265 Vol.
28 apr 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$22,265 Vol.
$22,265 Vol.
28 apr 2026
27°C or below
$1,703 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,320 Vol.
No
29°C
$921 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,128 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,618 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,457 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,481 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,343 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$1,908 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,681 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,704 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volume
$22,265Data di fine
28 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,265Data di fine
28 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jeddah's highest temperature on April 28, driven by official observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport station confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C amid hazy conditions and northwest breezes up to 20 mph that capped heating potential. Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs aligned precisely with this outcome, reflecting upper-level stability and coastal influences typical for late-April in the Red Sea region, where daily highs average 34–36°C. Final National Center of Meteorology reports are pending, but a realistic challenge would require anomalous clearing and radiative heating for a late spike to 35°C or above—unlikely with sunset approaching and declining solar insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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