Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 19 giugno?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F o inferiore <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Sì
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F o superiore
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F o inferiore <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Sì
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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