Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 42°C (31.5% implied probability) slightly over 41°C (26.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a gradual 4-5°C rise in maximums through April 18 amid persistent clear skies and building heatwave conditions over Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 36°C on April 13 to near 39-40°C by April 15-16 under anticyclonic subsidence suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation on dry land surfaces. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, low soil moisture enhancing sensible heating, and potential afternoon forecast overruns by 1-2°C if winds remain light—historical April climatology averages 38-39°C, but above-normal heatwave days are projected. New IMD updates on April 17 could refine model consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 35%
42°C 26%
40°C 16%
43°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
39°C or below
4%
40°C
18%
41°C
35%
42°C
26%
43°C
12%
44°C
8%
45°C
2%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C or higher
1%
41°C 35%
42°C 26%
40°C 16%
43°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
39°C or below
$9 Vol.
4%
40°C
$217 Vol.
18%
41°C
$8 Vol.
35%
42°C
$0 Vol.
26%
43°C
$145 Vol.
12%
44°C
$85 Vol.
8%
45°C
$56 Vol.
2%
46°C
$243 Vol.
1%
47°C
$228 Vol.
1%
48°C
$268 Vol.
1%
49°C or higher
$154 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 42°C (31.5% implied probability) slightly over 41°C (26.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a gradual 4-5°C rise in maximums through April 18 amid persistent clear skies and building heatwave conditions over Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 36°C on April 13 to near 39-40°C by April 15-16 under anticyclonic subsidence suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation on dry land surfaces. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, low soil moisture enhancing sensible heating, and potential afternoon forecast overruns by 1-2°C if winds remain light—historical April climatology averages 38-39°C, but above-normal heatwave days are projected. New IMD updates on April 17 could refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volume
$1,409Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 42°C (31.5% implied probability) slightly over 41°C (26.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a gradual 4-5°C rise in maximums through April 18 amid persistent clear skies and building heatwave conditions over Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 36°C on April 13 to near 39-40°C by April 15-16 under anticyclonic subsidence suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation on dry land surfaces. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, low soil moisture enhancing sensible heating, and potential afternoon forecast overruns by 1-2°C if winds remain light—historical April climatology averages 38-39°C, but above-normal heatwave days are projected. New IMD updates on April 17 could refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,409Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 42°C (31.5% implied probability) slightly over 41°C (26.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on April 18, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating a gradual 4-5°C rise in maximums through April 18 amid persistent clear skies and building heatwave conditions over Uttar Pradesh. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing from 36°C on April 13 to near 39-40°C by April 15-16 under anticyclonic subsidence suppressing clouds and maximizing solar insolation on dry land surfaces. Differentiating factors include urban heat island amplification in Lucknow, low soil moisture enhancing sensible heating, and potential afternoon forecast overruns by 1-2°C if winds remain light—historical April climatology averages 38-39°C, but above-normal heatwave days are projected. New IMD updates on April 17 could refine model consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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